loaded dice
suppose i have a perfectly ordinary six sided die. except it has two sixes and no one. ie a loaded die. now, i roll that die and i get a six. is that a normal six? or is that a loaded six? it's impossible to tell. it might be a perfectly natural six. after all, i could have rolled a six with a normal die. on the other hand, after many such casts, it's very clear that i'm cheating. unfortunately, that whole would have rolled a six anyway argument tends to paralyze the reasoning abilities of most humans. and with it, the law. we as a population really need to get our heads wrapped around basic math. we desperately need to up our education game. instead we dumb down america at every turn. which will lead to more of the following types of conversations: i'm very sorry you got lung cancer. not our fault. love, the cigarette manufacturers. i'm very sorry your trailer park was destroyed by a tornado. i'm very sorry your wheat crop was destroyed by drought. not my fault. love, global warning.